FERNDALE, Wash. — Some Ferndale area residents probably wondered if it was some far-fetched April Fools’ Day prank when they saw snow flurries for about an hour after 7am this morning, April 1st.
While there was no accumulation, the light snow flurries were a visible change from the moderate seasonal weather, save for the occasional squall, the Ferndale area had been seeing for the past few weeks.
Temperatures were in the mid-30s around Ferndale this morning when a localized system passed through from the north to the south resulting in the flurries before disappearing from the radar.
The forecasts for the remainder of the week are either relatively uneventful or hold the potential for multiple days with morning snow depending on which weather forecast model you place the most confidence.
The Global Forecast System (GFS) is the most widely used by weather apps since it is provided for free by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). It often lacks local accuracy, is less accurate than other models in mountainous areas and it was the only weather forecast model that foretold of this morning’s snow flurries.
The GFS forecast says to expect about a half of an inch of snow tomorrow morning and a third of an inch Friday morning. Both events are based on temperatures in the mid-30s. The other 3 computer models, ECMWF, METEOBLUE and NAM, say to expect any precipitation to fall as rain but are also expecting temperatures in the mid-30s those mornings.
Environment Canada forecasters also say to expect morning flurries tomorrow and Friday and maybe even some the evenings prior.
The more accurate European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) currently says to next expect snow Saturday morning when up to a quarter of an inch could fall.
Any accumulations on any of these days is not expected to linger since temperatures are forecast to rise into the 40s later in the day.